
New York 2044: Samuel Stein
Reported from the imagination of Samuel Stein, housing policy analyst – Community Service Society
Scroll down to see Sam’s real estate coming of age story in comic form.
NEW YORK IS BUYING IF LANDLORDS ARE SELLING
10 billion dollar war chest
New York, NY – June 4, 2044 – In the latest push to provide housing to New Yorkers who have been long shut out of the housing market, New York State is going on a massive buying spree.
Read MoreEffective today, those fortunate enough to own New York real estate can sell their lots, buildings, or apartments at market rate to the Social Housing Development Authority—the state entity which formed after more than a decade of an intense political battle. The Authority’s recent successful bond sale—the bonds are guaranteed by the state—has raised more than 10 billion dollars. And this is essentially a pilot project for what is slated to be a transformative housing landscape in the nation’s largest city.
But why, you ask, would owners want to sell?
Doesn’t every New Yorker know that owning a little piece of the apple—and holding onto it, and reaping the cashflow rewards of persistently high rents while the asset itself appreciates, is the key to building generational wealth? Until now, it’s been a win-win for the property owning class.
But that has changed.
“Owners are encouraged to sell,” explains the authority’s commissioner Samuel Stein, “by the gradual strengthening of rent regulations, which recently hit a peak in the Protect New Yorkers (universal stabilization) Act. That makes landlording a whole lot less of a sweet deal than it used to be, and owners who found themselves investing and renting out space simply because it was easy money but never set out to be landlords are now waking up to the fact that the gravy train is over. The constitution protects their property rights, so we can’t just take it, but we’re offering them a fair price to get out of landlording. We think many will cash out.”
“These mini-Maos won’t stop until they take everything from you,” says Brandon Flip, a landlord who owns more than twenty luxury rental buildings spanning The Bronx to Crown Heights, Brooklyn. “First it’s your building. Later, they’ll take your kids. Your toothbrush.” Flip has seen his rent rolls decrease substantially in past years as rent caps have been enacted. “I’ll probably have to sell about half my buildings just to stay afloat,” he says. “And that’s simply unAmerican.” When asked what he will do with the tens of millions of profits those sales will bring in, Mr. Flip routed the call to his personal AI assistant.
The authority plans to obtain a massive mixed housing portfolio in the next few months, and spend the first stage, spanning 2-3 years, on bringing the housing stock up to code, and retrofitting buildings to serve families, twenty somethings, communal living, and elderly living, using the Stages of Life building model. Many clusters of new units will also feature supportive resources such as therapy circles, healthy city kitchens, and medical clinics to serve formerly unhoused and substance addicted New Yorkers as they settle into their new homes in coming years.
But design isn’t all that will be innovative as a result of this buying spree.
“Much of the housing will be land trusts,” says Stein. “The residents buy the building, while the city owns the land underneath it. It’s governed in a slightly more complex-than-usual form of co-op: homeowners share power with the city. In this system, New Yorkers won’t make a killing by selling their apartments, but they can get back what they put in. Meanwhile, the city benefits from investment, and perhaps most important of all, tenants will have a sense of ownership. That means the buildings will be maintained with dignity, and people will be leading happier lives within them.”
Samuel’s Story
Samuel’s real estate coming of age story in comic form, by Noah Fischer.
Samuel Stein is a housing policy analyst at the Community Service Society and the author of Capital City: Gentrification and the Real Estate State. He has worked for such housing and labor organizations as Tenants & Neighbors and the Service Employees International Union local 32BJ. He holds a Ph.D. in geography from the CUNY Graduate Center and a Master’s in Urban Planning from Hunter College.